Skip to content

Latvia

November 24th - November 30th, 2025 | Week 117 | Month 26

Latvia Weekly: Pro-Kremlin Narratives Mock Baltic Security and Undermine NATO Credibility

The pro-Kremlin "Antifascists of Pribaltics" channel uses mockery and logical inversions to delegitimize Baltic security efforts, falsely claiming Latvia is in NATO, because Russia has “leased” it out and portraying defensive military measures as delusional provocation. By systematically undermining confidence in Baltic defense policies and independence, the channel aims to weaken NATO cohesion and increase Baltic vulnerability to Russian pressure.

by Martinš Hiršs
Drone
Main channels: Telegram

4

Main narratives:

  • The West is aggressor
  • The Baltics are aggressors

Overview:

The pro-Kremlin “Antifascists of Pribaltics” Telegram channel employs mockery and distortion to undermine Baltic security policies and NATO credibility. Rather than engaging with legitimate arguments, the channel ridicules Baltic leaders and security measures through sarcasm and conspiracy insinuation.

When discussing military expert Igors Rajevs’ commentary on Russia’s recognition of Donbass, the channel absurdly claims this revelation somehow proves that NATO has “leased” the Baltic States, Poland, and Finland from Russia. This false logical leap inverts historical reality. These nations joined NATO and the EU voluntarily to escape Russian domination, not to submit to it under different terms. By framing NATO membership as a form of control, the channel attempts to delegitimize Baltic sovereignty while suggesting resistance to Russia is futile.

The channel ridicules Latvia’s reliance on NATO nuclear deterrence capabilities, mocking President Edgars Rinkēvičs as delusional for suggesting enhanced security through such measures. Using sarcasm and literary references, it portrays Baltic aspirations for genuine security as a naive fantasy. This narrative serves a clear purpose: convincing Baltic populations that their security efforts are meaningless, thereby undermining support for defensive policies and NATO integration.

The channel dismissed Latvia’s Independence Day military parade by asking, “Who are you going to attack, Putin?” This employed false equivalence between defensive displays and aggressive intent. A nation’s military commemoration is reframed as provocation, inverting responsibility for regional tensions while subtly suggesting Russia should be the arbiter of what Baltic security activities are acceptable.

These narratives exemplify pro-Kremlin disinformation tactics: logical inversions, conspiratorial claims, mockery of legitimate security concerns, and the systematic denial of Baltic agency. By portraying Baltic defense efforts as futile, delusional, or inherently provocative, the channel aims to weaken resolve for NATO alignment and independence from Russian pressure.

Weekly Reports
Kęstutis Budrys

Lithuania Weekly: Kremlin-Aligned Media Exploit Belarus Sanctions Rift

November 24th - November 30th, 2025

free Ukraine

Estonia Weekly: Kremlin-Aligned Messaging Undermines Support for Ukraine

November 24th - November 30th, 2025

Seimas

Lithuania Weekly: LRT Becomes New Target of Kremlin-Aligned Disinformation

November 17th - November 23rd, 2025

NATO

Latvia Weekly: Inversion Tactics Used to Portray Latvia as the Aggressor

November 17th - November 23rd, 2025

Narva

Estonia Weekly: Coalition Negotiations in Narva and Tallinn Become a Target for Identity-Based Narratives

November 17th - November 23rd, 2025

Inga Ruginienė

Lithuania Weekly: Disinformation Campaign Intensifies Against Lithuanian Leaders

November 10th - November 16th, 2025

Aleksejs Roslikovs

Latvia Weekly: Local Actors Amplify Stories of Oppression and Resistance

November 10th - November 16th, 2025

Limp Bizkit

Estonia Weekly: Limp Bizkit Concert Cancellation Sparks Nationwide Debate

November 10th - November 16th, 2025

Gabrielius Landsbergis

Lithuania Weekly: Disinformation Targets Landsbergis and Exploits Belarus Balloon Incidents

November 3rd - November 9th, 2025

Roslikovs

Latvia Weekly: Opposition Leaders Portray Themselves as Victims of Systemic Bias

November 3rd - November 9th, 2025

Don't miss a story.

We publish stories that change laws, lives, minds and the world. Subscribe to our newsletter to get our investigations delivered to your inbox.