Report
Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
Weekly Reports
Lithuania Weekly: Silence After Tragedy Fuels New Conspiracy Theories
This week, Kremlin-aligned media escalated narratives around the Pabradė incident, accusing Lithuanian authorities of secrecy and mismanagement. Alongside renewed conspiracy theories, the government faced intensified criticism over defence policies, economic reforms, and institutional trust, with malign sources aiming to erode public confidence and amplify societal discontent.
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Latvia Weekly: Russophobia, Decline, and Delusion – Narratives Fuel Division
Over the last week, monitored social media portrayed Latvia as Russophobic, tying this narrative together with claims of Latvia as an economic failure and dismissing the country’s concerns about potential Russian aggression.
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Estonia Weekly: Seizure of Sanctioned Tanker Sparks Kremlin Backlash
Estonia’s navy has seized the Kiwala, a flagless oil tanker linked to Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’, in its first direct seizure in the Baltic Sea, despite accusations from pro-Kremlin commentators that it was overstepping its capabilities and potentially provoking inter-state tensions. Pro-Kremlin social media users also accuse the Estonian authorities of public Russophobia and violating the rights of the Russian-speaking minority.
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Lithuania Weekly: Conspiracies After Successful Pabradė Operation
Following the recovery of the U.S. military vehicle in Pabradė, Kremlin-aligned media quickly fueled conspiracy theories, accusing Lithuanian authorities of withholding information and staging the event. By exploiting limited official communication, these narratives painted Lithuania as secretive and subservient to Western powers, aiming to erode public trust and question the country’s alliances.
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Monthly Reports
Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
Read more
Latvia Monthly: Kremlin Propaganda Paints a Puppet and a Provocateur
Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels are deploying contradictory narratives to undermine Latvia’s sovereignty, portraying it both as a powerless Western puppet and an aggressive warmonger eager for conflict with Russia. By twisting Latvia’s NATO ties and defense initiatives, these narratives aim to erode trust in the Baltic state’s legitimacy, stir internal divisions within the EU and NATO, and justify Russian hostility in the region.
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Estonia Monthly: Citizenship Reform and Church Bill Fuel Pro-Kremlin Narratives
Two landmark decisions by the Estonian Parliament in March – restricting local voting rights to EU citizens and severing church ties with Moscow – sparked a wave of reaction on Russian-language social media. Kremlin-aligned voices praised opposition figures who rejected the bills, particularly EKRE’s Varro Vooglaid, whose criticism of the church bill was widely amplified. His conservative rhetoric resonated with pro-Kremlin narratives, potentially drawing Russian-speaking voters toward Estonia’s far-right and opening new channels for influence campaigns.
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Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Disinformation Aims to Undermine Energy Independence
Lithuania’s disconnection from the BRELL electricity network became a focal point of Kremlin-aligned disinformation, with media narratives predicting power outages, rising electricity prices, and government failure. Fearmongering posts and viral videos sought to erode public trust and frame energy independence as reckless and harmful. However, while these narratives gained traction among certain audiences, pushback from social media users highlighted growing resistance to disinformation. This case demonstrates how misleading claims and economic fears are weaponized to destabilize public confidence and challenge Lithuania’s strategic decisions.
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