Report
Latvia Monthly: Political Victimhood and Radical Messaging Fuel Tensions Between Communities
In June, Stability! party leader Aleksejs Roslikovs sparked controversy by declaring in Parliament, “There are more of us! We cannot be banned!” – a response to a nationalist proposal to restrict Russian language use. His remarks and viral social media posts were later amplified by pro-Kremlin media, highlighting how domestic tensions can fuel foreign propaganda.
Monthly Reports
Latvia Monthly: Political Victimhood and Radical Messaging Fuel Tensions Between Communities
In June, Stability! party leader Aleksejs Roslikovs sparked controversy by declaring in Parliament, “There are more of us! We cannot be banned!” – a response to a nationalist proposal to restrict Russian language use. His remarks and viral social media posts were later amplified by pro-Kremlin media, highlighting how domestic tensions can fuel foreign propaganda.
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Estonia Monthly: The Return of the ‘Russian Card’ Ahead of Municipal Elections
By June 2025, Estonia’s ruling coalition faced mounting internal tensions over cultural and social policy, with a proposal to abolish kindergarten fees exposing deeper divisions among the governing parties. As pressure mounted, opposition forces reignited debates around the treatment of Russian-speaking residents, accusing the government of pursuing de-Russification and cultural exclusion. With municipal elections looming, the ‘Russian card’ re-emerged as both a political weapon and a reflection of unresolved questions about identity, inclusion, and national cohesion.
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Lithuania Monthly: German Brigade Arrival Triggers Wave of Kremlin-Backed Disinformation
The June deployment of Germany’s Panzerbrigade 45 to Lithuania marked a historic NATO milestone—but it quickly became a target for Kremlin-aligned disinformation. Pro-Kremlin media framed the move as foreign occupation, mocked German leadership, and used emotionally charged narratives to erode public trust in NATO. Economic and historical distortions further amplified efforts to undermine Lithuanian sovereignty and Western unity.
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Latvia Monthly: The Rise of the Alliance of Young Latvians
Fringe radical populist conspiracy political party Alliance of Young Latvians has successfully leveraged social media platforms to mainstream populist and Kremlin-aligned narratives about anti-Russian discrimination and government failure, transforming from a fringe political group into a potentially viable electoral force projected to cross the 5% threshold in Latvia’s upcoming municipal elections.
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Estonia Monthly: Victory Day Sparks Disinformation Surge in Narva and Tallinn
On 9 May 2025, pro-Kremlin disinformation efforts escalated sharply in Estonia, with Narva and Tallinn at the center. Narratives accusing Estonia of “erasing Soviet history” and suppressing Russian identity were amplified through staged videos and social media manipulation, while patriotic displays from across the border in Ivangorod clashed with Estonia’s public messaging. The events exposed ongoing tensions surrounding historical memory.
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Lithuania Monthly: Real Estate Tax Protest Becomes a Tool for Kremlin’s Disinformation
A protest against Lithuania’s new real estate tax in April became a lightning rod for Kremlin-aligned media, which framed the demonstration as a sign of civil unrest and government collapse. Originally aimed at aligning with Western fiscal norms, the policy sparked public backlash – now amplified by narratives of corruption, conspiracy, and social injustice. Disinformation actors portrayed the protest as a grassroots revolt against a failing system, using emotionally charged slogans, fabricated links to unrelated events, and high-profile influencers to erode trust in the Lithuanian government and democratic institutions.
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Latvia Monthly: Intensifying Pre-Election Rhetoric
Populist candidates like Grevcova and Brēmanis (Alliance of Young Latvians) use emotionally charged content to highlight alleged government corruption and waste, often through unverifiable claims. Their videos on TikTok and Facebook generate more engagement than both Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels and rival populists like Roslikovs (For Stability). These figures leverage outrage-driven messaging to erode trust in Latvian institutions and promote anti-establishment, anti-government sentiment – particularly among Russian-speaking audiences.
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Estonia Monthly: Narva’s Mayor Faces Threats Amid Rising Tensions
Katri Raik, mayor of the border city of Narva, has spoken candidly about the rising tensions in her community as Estonia strengthens its military presence near Russia. While some welcome the move, many locals remain wary. Raik has received multiple threats, including a death threat and public intimidation, on the same day news broke about a planned Estonian Defence Forces base in Narva. Her leadership highlights the delicate balance between national security and local identity in a city shaped by complex histories and geopolitical realities.
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Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
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