Report
Estonia Monthly: Victory Day Sparks Disinformation Surge in Narva and Tallinn
On 9 May 2025, pro-Kremlin disinformation efforts escalated sharply in Estonia, with Narva and Tallinn at the center. Narratives accusing Estonia of “erasing Soviet history” and suppressing Russian identity were amplified through staged videos and social media manipulation, while patriotic displays from across the border in Ivangorod clashed with Estonia’s public messaging. The events exposed ongoing tensions surrounding historical memory.
Monthly Reports
Estonia Monthly: Victory Day Sparks Disinformation Surge in Narva and Tallinn
On 9 May 2025, pro-Kremlin disinformation efforts escalated sharply in Estonia, with Narva and Tallinn at the center. Narratives accusing Estonia of “erasing Soviet history” and suppressing Russian identity were amplified through staged videos and social media manipulation, while patriotic displays from across the border in Ivangorod clashed with Estonia’s public messaging. The events exposed ongoing tensions surrounding historical memory.
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Lithuania Monthly: Real Estate Tax Protest Becomes a Tool for Kremlin’s Disinformation
A protest against Lithuania’s new real estate tax in April became a lightning rod for Kremlin-aligned media, which framed the demonstration as a sign of civil unrest and government collapse. Originally aimed at aligning with Western fiscal norms, the policy sparked public backlash – now amplified by narratives of corruption, conspiracy, and social injustice. Disinformation actors portrayed the protest as a grassroots revolt against a failing system, using emotionally charged slogans, fabricated links to unrelated events, and high-profile influencers to erode trust in the Lithuanian government and democratic institutions.
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Latvia Monthly: Intensifying Pre-Election Rhetoric
Populist candidates like Grevcova and Brēmanis (Alliance of Young Latvians) use emotionally charged content to highlight alleged government corruption and waste, often through unverifiable claims. Their videos on TikTok and Facebook generate more engagement than both Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels and rival populists like Roslikovs (For Stability). These figures leverage outrage-driven messaging to erode trust in Latvian institutions and promote anti-establishment, anti-government sentiment – particularly among Russian-speaking audiences.
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Estonia Monthly: Narva’s Mayor Faces Threats Amid Rising Tensions
Katri Raik, mayor of the border city of Narva, has spoken candidly about the rising tensions in her community as Estonia strengthens its military presence near Russia. While some welcome the move, many locals remain wary. Raik has received multiple threats, including a death threat and public intimidation, on the same day news broke about a planned Estonian Defence Forces base in Narva. Her leadership highlights the delicate balance between national security and local identity in a city shaped by complex histories and geopolitical realities.
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Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
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Latvia Monthly: Kremlin Propaganda Paints a Puppet and a Provocateur
Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels are deploying contradictory narratives to undermine Latvia’s sovereignty, portraying it both as a powerless Western puppet and an aggressive warmonger eager for conflict with Russia. By twisting Latvia’s NATO ties and defense initiatives, these narratives aim to erode trust in the Baltic state’s legitimacy, stir internal divisions within the EU and NATO, and justify Russian hostility in the region.
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Estonia Monthly: Citizenship Reform and Church Bill Fuel Pro-Kremlin Narratives
Two landmark decisions by the Estonian Parliament in March – restricting local voting rights to EU citizens and severing church ties with Moscow – sparked a wave of reaction on Russian-language social media. Kremlin-aligned voices praised opposition figures who rejected the bills, particularly EKRE’s Varro Vooglaid, whose criticism of the church bill was widely amplified. His conservative rhetoric resonated with pro-Kremlin narratives, potentially drawing Russian-speaking voters toward Estonia’s far-right and opening new channels for influence campaigns.
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Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Disinformation Aims to Undermine Energy Independence
Lithuania’s disconnection from the BRELL electricity network became a focal point of Kremlin-aligned disinformation, with media narratives predicting power outages, rising electricity prices, and government failure. Fearmongering posts and viral videos sought to erode public trust and frame energy independence as reckless and harmful. However, while these narratives gained traction among certain audiences, pushback from social media users highlighted growing resistance to disinformation. This case demonstrates how misleading claims and economic fears are weaponized to destabilize public confidence and challenge Lithuania’s strategic decisions.
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Latvia Monthly: Russian Propaganda Capitalizes on Trump’s Statements
Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels used mockery, selective reporting, and fear-mongering to undermine the Baltic States’ security, sovereignty, and independence. These narratives painted the Baltic States as weak, desperate, and subservient to the West. Suggesting that Trump’s USA does not care about the Baltics and that one day the Baltics might be forced to realign with Russia.
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