Report
Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
Weekly Reports
Latvia Weekly: How Outrage Is Fueling a Populist Surge
The previously fringe Union of New Latvians party is now polling to pass the 5% threshold for Riga’s city council. Its leaders Glorija Grevcova and Rūdolfs Brēmanis are generating social media engagement through content which can be described as “outrage porn.” They are stirring up outrage in their audience using charged and even fake topics to provoke strong emotional reactions. Guess the populist political party which gained the most engagements for its posts on Facebook, TikTok and Telegram? It was not Roslikovs, the leader of Stability! party. It was not Ainārs Šlesers, Trump-like leader of Latvia First party. It was Glorija Grevcova and Rūdolfs Brēmanis from the Union New Latvians.
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Estonia Weekly: Concerns Over Russian Propaganda and Youth Indoctrination
Estonian Internal Security Service accused blogger Oleg Besedin of spreading Russian propaganda on his YouTube channel, sparking a strong reaction on social media. Besedin claimed he gives a voice to the ignored, accusing Estonia of violating freedom of expression. Russia is using cultural and educational programmes at the Artek camp in Russian-occupied Crimea to promote pro-Russian sentiments among Estonian children, turning the camp into a centre for militarising children and spreading Russian propaganda.
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Lithuania Weekly: Silence After Tragedy Fuels New Conspiracy Theories
This week, Kremlin-aligned media escalated narratives around the Pabradė incident, accusing Lithuanian authorities of secrecy and mismanagement. Alongside renewed conspiracy theories, the government faced intensified criticism over defence policies, economic reforms, and institutional trust, with malign sources aiming to erode public confidence and amplify societal discontent.
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Latvia Weekly: Russophobia, Decline, and Delusion – Narratives Fuel Division
Over the last week, monitored social media portrayed Latvia as Russophobic, tying this narrative together with claims of Latvia as an economic failure and dismissing the country’s concerns about potential Russian aggression.
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Monthly Reports
Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Media Exploits U.S. Military Incident to Undermine NATO
A tragic U.S. military incident in Pabradė, Lithuania, became fertile ground for Kremlin-aligned media in March 2025. What began as a local tragedy quickly turned into a disinformation campaign questioning NATO’s strength, Lithuania’s sovereignty, and the transparency of government institutions. Conspiracy theories flourished, amplifying distrust and fueling anti-Western narratives.
Read more
Latvia Monthly: Kremlin Propaganda Paints a Puppet and a Provocateur
Kremlin-aligned Telegram channels are deploying contradictory narratives to undermine Latvia’s sovereignty, portraying it both as a powerless Western puppet and an aggressive warmonger eager for conflict with Russia. By twisting Latvia’s NATO ties and defense initiatives, these narratives aim to erode trust in the Baltic state’s legitimacy, stir internal divisions within the EU and NATO, and justify Russian hostility in the region.
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Estonia Monthly: Citizenship Reform and Church Bill Fuel Pro-Kremlin Narratives
Two landmark decisions by the Estonian Parliament in March – restricting local voting rights to EU citizens and severing church ties with Moscow – sparked a wave of reaction on Russian-language social media. Kremlin-aligned voices praised opposition figures who rejected the bills, particularly EKRE’s Varro Vooglaid, whose criticism of the church bill was widely amplified. His conservative rhetoric resonated with pro-Kremlin narratives, potentially drawing Russian-speaking voters toward Estonia’s far-right and opening new channels for influence campaigns.
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Lithuania Monthly: Kremlin Disinformation Aims to Undermine Energy Independence
Lithuania’s disconnection from the BRELL electricity network became a focal point of Kremlin-aligned disinformation, with media narratives predicting power outages, rising electricity prices, and government failure. Fearmongering posts and viral videos sought to erode public trust and frame energy independence as reckless and harmful. However, while these narratives gained traction among certain audiences, pushback from social media users highlighted growing resistance to disinformation. This case demonstrates how misleading claims and economic fears are weaponized to destabilize public confidence and challenge Lithuania’s strategic decisions.
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